Tunisia ... the path of revolutions and the challenges of the economy and terrorism





Does not exceed that seen in Tunisia natural laws revolutions, and the emergence of economic and social challenges in the transitional periods, convened by the increased risk of the spread of terrorism.
And reveal the regional demonstrations in remote areas south of the country for the failure of successive governments in achieving the objectives of the Jasmine Revolution in freedom and dignity.
The revolution deposed the regime of President exploded as a result of the accumulation of economic and social demands with a clear imbalance in Tunisia's experience in the field of regional development to remote areas from the coast and the center of the capital.
And overshadowed by the case of sharp political partisanship and competition authority on the political agenda on the search for solving economic and social problems caused the protests flared anew.
And the face of terrorism a powerful blow to the tourism sector and related sectors what caused the decline in economic growth and increase unemployment.
At the time of collecting observers and experts that the revolution in Tunisia formed a clear exception for the march of the rest of the revolutions of the "Arab Spring", there is disagreement about the causes, and clear that the cohesion of the Tunisian society of ethnic and sectarian played a role in the lack of complexity of the conflict, and the presence of strong institutions in Tunis contributed to Much of relative stability.
Perhaps the difference in structure, composition and conditions of the emergence of the movement of "Renaissance" Islamic orientation play a positive role in the past five years to reverse the role of Islamic parties in the Arab countries, the movement arose in the circumstances of a secular society, and did not seek to monopolize power and worked to form a troika governor with the wishes of the rest parties, which have earned lower percentages in the elections.
It is injustice to deny the important role of the "renaissance" in overcoming the political stalemate to give up power, and before that to maintain the gains of women and working people, and not try to "Islamization" institutions of governance.
And obviously, the march of the revolution was intercepted by "Deep state" of supporters of the former regime, and social groups is benefiting from the changes, in addition to foreign interventions aim of the revolution a character off course or frustration, and measured the strength of the previous elements equivalent to the power of "counter-revolution" or perhaps more, but Tunisia was able to overcome the problems civilized ways, and to complete the process of democratic transition of power in more than one occasion, and must not be neglected important factor is the high ceiling of the demands of the people and their aspirations in the transitional period after the revolutions, most social groups think that the victory of the revolution to remove the former regime automated means to achieve all demands and raise the standard of living, which did not materialize in the Tunisian experience, or any other revolutionary experiments in accordance with the principle of "Be!", but on the contrary may fall level for a short period before re-starting forward.
It is clear that the economic situation has become much more difficult than pre-revolutionary period which data and indicators reveal, rate of growth until the end of the third quarter of last year amounted to 0.7 percent on an annual basis, and compared the Tunisian economy grew at rates of more than 5 percent before the revolution by international institutions.
The Ministry of Finance and the Tunisian revealed that the ratio of public debt rose from about 40.3 percent of GDP in 2010, to the limits of 52.7 percent in 2015, showed the Tunisian Central Bank data show that the deficit in the Tunisian budget rose to 7.9 percent of the size of the country's economy until the beginning December / December 2015.
And gathered a number of negative factors in the failure to achieve high growth rates in the past years, Vojoa lack of political stability and security in the surroundings tempered the attractiveness of Tunisia investment, and strikes and protests demands for workers phosphate plants cost the country losses exceed two billion US dollars in the years after the revolution.
And droughts caused the decline in the production of important crops such as cereals, which Hui production by about 40 percent in the last year, and added to all this the consequences of the European debt crisis and its impact negatively on the Tunisian exports to the EU countries size.
With growth rates of about 1.6 per year in the years after the revolution, successive governments have failed to solve the unemployment crisis, and according to official data, the unemployment rate rose last year to 15.2 percent, while noting that unemployment rises in the ranks of university students to 30 percent.
And reveals the renewed demonstrations in the south from the catastrophic failure in creating a new development model takes into account the demise of social disparities, and regional, as experts estimate that Tunisia needs to growth rates of over 8 percent a year to solve the problem of unemployment, and linking education to the needs of the labor market to stop the migration and take advantage of all the competencies and end unemployment among university graduates.
Increased terrorist attacks from the crisis of the Tunisian economy. In the last year have caused the process of the Bardo Museum, and after the attack in Sousse in the tourism sector paralysis, which accounts for about 20 percent of the size of the Tunisian economy, and flows into the Tunisian Treasury nearly $ 1.5 billion annually, and provides about half a million chance work directly, two million work in the transport sectors of opportunity, and traditional industries, and restaurants.
And it pushed the security risks in Tunisia, Libya and the Saharan region governments to increase spending on defense and security to nearly 15 percent of the budget of about 2 percent before the revolution, which means depriving other sectors such as education and health of their balance sheets and declining investment in new projects was a can accommodate large numbers of the unemployed.
Finally, the separation of political conflicts on the economic agenda sponsor solving many of the problems faced by Tunisia to spread the smell of jasmine revolution in the country and abroad, and is certain to bet today is the continuation of resorting to democracy and a policy of dialogue as things went in the past five years, then Tunisia continues to impress the world nor cure them of her love.

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